> Just because it has been true up until now does not mean that it still is true and will continue to be true indefinitely.
My argument is not that it will go on for ever, my argument is that we can not predict when its going to stop and without some groundbreaking new line of argumentation I see no reason why I should expect it to change very soon.
However the only argument I hear is 'Tech X replaced Y amount of people'.
There are many things that come back again and again. Overpopulation pops up every 20 years. Resource prices will just go up (peek oil).
All these arguments have one thing in common, the stay consistanly the same and they are consistently wrong. Now once in awhile some prediction turns out to be true, and then people cry 'see I was right'. However its very unlikly that these people were actually right in the sence that they had discovered some new analysis or something, they are just luck.
So if there is a great new argument, please tell me and if its good I belive you.
> Indeed historically, rapid technological development did often lead to many years of immense economic suffering for large groups of people
True. But I dont think the last couple of years were specially revolutionary in terms of technology.
> I don't think it's wrong to ask if now it's possible it will never get better because we're on the verge of technology replacing so many jobs.
Its not wrong to ask. Belive me I spent quite some time reading about this, reading both sides but in the end, one side was consistently correct and the other never changed there argument or there position.
My argument is not that it will go on for ever, my argument is that we can not predict when its going to stop and without some groundbreaking new line of argumentation I see no reason why I should expect it to change very soon.
However the only argument I hear is 'Tech X replaced Y amount of people'.
There are many things that come back again and again. Overpopulation pops up every 20 years. Resource prices will just go up (peek oil).
All these arguments have one thing in common, the stay consistanly the same and they are consistently wrong. Now once in awhile some prediction turns out to be true, and then people cry 'see I was right'. However its very unlikly that these people were actually right in the sence that they had discovered some new analysis or something, they are just luck.
So if there is a great new argument, please tell me and if its good I belive you.
> Indeed historically, rapid technological development did often lead to many years of immense economic suffering for large groups of people
True. But I dont think the last couple of years were specially revolutionary in terms of technology.
> I don't think it's wrong to ask if now it's possible it will never get better because we're on the verge of technology replacing so many jobs.
Its not wrong to ask. Belive me I spent quite some time reading about this, reading both sides but in the end, one side was consistently correct and the other never changed there argument or there position.