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I’m willing to give them a break as I’m assuming they have a lot of scaling problems due to the influx of LLM assisted coding.

But maybe I’m wrong?



Save that for your local mom-and-pop store: Microsoft is a multi-billion dollar corporation with enough resources to, at the very least, provide a reliable service for enterprise clients.

The "AI is using a lot of resources" excuse was maybe acceptable last year but not in Q3 2026.


Doubly so given this is hardly a surprise. We've been on this trajectory for at least a couple of years now. They don't get to shrug, point at 10x volume, and act like they've been blindsided.


They had large increase in volume, and trying to move to Azure at the same time. I don't envy them for either work they need to do. But also don't feel pithy because it's Microslop, at the end of the day.


All being said, I have most sympathy towards engineers of all people. They don't get to call the shots, they do as they are told. 99% of the time by an extremely out-of-touch managers.

Managers and executives though? Those I do blame. Surely at this point it should be blindingly obvious their current strategy is not working.


Those engineers also chose to work in US big tech for the ridiculously high salaries that come with it. Having to deal with the problems resulting from that scale is just part of the deal.


The end of the day is now.


Ok but if the same problem will happen with the mom-and-pop store, switching there doesn't help. This isn't a moral dilemma, people just want their stuff to be up.


If you use Azure you’d know they are definitely not able to scale up quickly. Tons of quotas and lack of availability.


They are also at least partially responsible for and profit from the LLM spam.


I have little sympathy that they're buckling over a problem they helped create.


Yeah let's not forget that in those brief few days when Sam Altman was fired, Satya Nadella swooped in and hired him. Despite the failure of that move, Microsoft has invested $13 billion directly into OpenAI, and has spent $100 billion on the partnership. No sympathy from me watching their software crumble as a result.


They have also been pushing people very hard to use the slop generators, including through GitHub.


Exactly.


> scaling problems due to the influx of LLM assisted coding

You mean people pushing LLM assisted coding, or github's own coders pushing LLM assisted code to production ? :-).

I am more inclined to think that it is the second, but if the reason is the first, what is particular hard to scale ? It's not like everybody is vide-coding into a single repository, so I would expect that most of the load would naturally be scalable by increasing the resources. If for some reason that is not possible, I would expect a corporation as big as Github to keep the paying customers working by gracefully denying service to the free tier, not to collapse like an house of cards.


> You mean people pushing LLM assisted coding, or github's own coders pushing LLM assisted code to production ? :-).

Why not both?


All three: their own quite aggressive pushing of LLM coding as a whole.


A perfect slop storm - slop bringing down a slopified service.


The quality and performance of GitHub enterprise has degraded horribly this year. Their problems are self-inflicted and influx is just an excuse.

Despite minimal new features, and drastically increasing hardware resources to keep up, self-hosted GitHub enterprise went from things being instant to most requests taking many seconds. And activity on issues in one repository tends to mysteriously re-open issues with the same number in other repositories.

I think they are vibe coding and facing the consequences.


Please let this not be true :( I mean nothing against vibe coding for hobby and assisting you when you get stuck, but at something important like Github they should have hooks to stop low-quality commits and repeated CI-breaking or issue causing should automatically restrict accounts at such companies I think.

Do you think they have such measures in place? I remember when my indention wasn't spotless our university rejected my commits or if my function complexity was too high.. Tears in my eyes.. I think it was called Gerrit Code Review.


It’s become clear to me that any company acquired by Microsoft should be avoided. All software dev is hard. Software dev within a huge organization is damned hard. And Microsoft is SO HUGE and has so much infighting and finger pointing going on that they’re now, as far as I’m concerned, incapable (let alone unwilling) to ship good software.

No faith left. None. They turn everything into a quagmire.


Come on now let’s be fair. They couldn’t possibly fix all of GitHub‘s bugs and deployment problems while maintaining their breakneck pace of mission critical feature deployments. You know, probably something sexy like replacing Win11’s maximize, minimize and close buttons with a chat prompt where you can just tell copilot what you want the window to do.


How many weeks/months can they use this excuse? They are literally are at the forefront of this emerging industry and are capturing untold value. To let their product suffer and potentially lose market share because of it is extremely foolish


Scaling can take time but they've had at least a year to prepare. It's not like any demand increase they've seen was overnight...

At most normal companies you monitor your systems and address potential bottlenecks before they reach a tipping point. And generally you want enough headroom that a sudden 2-3x increase in demand wouldn't take out the service.

Either Github's technical leadership/talent is completely out of their depth (seems unlikely), or they're not hiring enough engineers to work on these capacity issues.


> Either Github's technical leadership/talent is completely out of their depth (seems unlikely), or they're not hiring enough engineers to work on these capacity issues.

Regarding their leadership, I'd argue the latter implies the former.

So yeah I'd say they're out of their depth.


More likely, as seen in a lot of companies, perhaps infra teams got whittled down (or frozen HC, less than BAU, etc) with resources reallocated to AI org units.


Hardware resources are also allocated to AI uses so you can't scale out that way anymore.


I got the impression from a previous thread that the continual issues were largely driven by the required move to Azure, and underlying Azure stability


Rather, lack of Azure stability. ;-)


Are they really capturing the most value or just burning the most money?


Found this reddit thread from a month ago that talks about the scale:

   Commit volume went from 1 billion total in all of 2025 to 275 million per week by early 2026. 
https://www.reddit.com/r/softwaredevelopment/comments/1uv5s7...


Do you know how many thousands/millions of dollars that would cost to serve!?

Microsoft has to spend more money on acquiring games studios for billions of dollars then shut them down.


No idea about the cost.

I do know that very few systems are designed to handle a 14x increase in traffic painlessly (275M*52 = 14.3B), especially at scale.


Tracks with some of my internal metrics. There are certain projects I'm tracking (solo dev or a small team of a few people) doing 500k LoC changes _per week_. There's one project that caught my attention in particular because they had something like 800k commits and around 7 million lines of code... and they created the repo in _July_. Also, yes I checked, the repo gradually grew over time they didn't just splat it in the first commit.


Nad is that actually useful for something in the end ? Or just useless rewrites and insane code duplication/bundling/vendoring ?


This is the question.


Bonkers. Almost a million commits in less than 2 months.


Isn't all the LLMs and AI supposed to be "solving these problems" because all the engineers are now 10x ? Not being sarcastic but I mean, this is what we were told and sold...by the likes of...Microsoft.


Services like Facebook have orders of magnitude more activity than GitHub and manage much better uptime.


Services like Facebook aggressively block automated activity, including AI agents.

GitHub sells this as a service.


Bots or not, Facebook has orders of magnitude more traffic.


HTTP traffic is different from run this CPU intensive pipeline service for 10 minutes and now increase the volume by 100x in a few months.

I used to manage a popular app/website that had tens of billions of real user page views per month. It wasn't easy but it also wasn't hard. It was surprisingly easy with a single large Postgres DB, a lot of caching, optimized tables and queries.


Yes, but their shapes are very different. Most users interact with a small, geographically constrained bubble. It is (comparably) an easier problem for the usage patterns of Facebook.

The app is also designed so when you open Insta, only a few images are shown, infinite scroll is there for a reason. The search page suggestions? Probably from a cache and then re-ranked quickly.


The thing is Github’s core is git’s core plus extras, and thet core is fundamentally text wrangling.

Youtube and Insta and Facebook and many other social media platforms handle very resource intensive media for billions of people plus bots.

Increased influx from AI is not plausible when viewed from that lens.


It is though. Maybe you think they should be doing a better job but 12-24xing scale when you were already handling billions of commits is definitely understandable to me. It just does feel like they should have some way of ensuring customers, paying ones, don’t have to suffer so much.


Yes. It seems that at the very least repositories owned by paying customers should be processed on priority threads. And perhaps throttle commits/pushes to repos where there are a lot of pushes from the same person all the time. This can be effectively throttled at the push level.


If I hadn't already switched to GitLab long ago, I'd certainly do so when my pushes to GitHub are throttled.


First off, there aren’t that many developers in the world compared to consumers.

Taking every developer in the world and multiplying by 12x-24x is not a-lot compared to many consumer oriented sites.

Second, you can’t ignore the payloads, even an AI mostly text push is nothing compared to, say, 10 iPhone pictures or one moderate video.


Developers aren’t what scaled commits/pushes are they claim it went from ~1 billion a year to doing more than that a month


So in other words, a 12x increase - which is exactly that I already responded to.

A 12x increase in volume should not be world ending for Microsoft given that the number of developers in the world is a pretty small baseline number to start from.


Lots of paying customers also depend on the open source part of GitHub to run their business.


That sounds like an opportunity for GitHub to clip the ticket for providing a way for those businesses to support those projects more directly.


That’s the reason they gave, and I believe them. But I also think there has to be more to it. If your paying users are seeing degradation caused by (likely) free tier users (for years by the way), restrict the free users.


They've had an insane influx. It seems that they should more aggressively limit free tier activity or isolate paid users, this has become unbearable...


Or maybe prioritise humans / human-shaped activity? Agents can tolerate a 503+Retry-After is a lot less frustrating to an agent than a human.


Github has had a pretty spotty track record for uptime for a very, very long time. It didn't get any better when MS bought it out.

It has really just coasted on GH's network effect because everybody uses GH for git by default. It doesn't really have much direct competition and anything that does offer something like GH just doesn't have the same mindshare.

In that way, GH became more like MS.


I'm really curious how other codeforges are faring. I only use codeberg and github - codeberg seems to have less outages, especially for a much smaller organisation, but they've recently removed support for LLM projects which could be linked.

Anyone here have data on whether the likes of gitlab have been impacted in the same was as github?


I love codeberg but it also have outages and is sometimes quite slow.

But I’m more lenient with codeberg because they are a non-profit and as you say, they are banning vibe-coded project because of the cost to infrastructure. In the meantime, GitHub is encouraging vibe-coding, multiplication of the source code, and genAI discussions.


my personal forgejo instance has had 100% availability for the last two years.


So it has run on a server that hasn’t had updates in 2 years? And it itself hasn’t been updated in 2 years?


The key is that maintenance is done on your own terms, and thus it's available when you need it.


You can run it in an HA configuration with multiple servers and live updates.


Yes. And the same for the database and then you get it into “professional” territories with more moving parts that can also fail and take 3 hours to figure it out and recover.


Yup. It's kinda binary: either almost no downtime for years with a crazy number of nines, or a total mess for several days while people figure out the issues.

That being said, a Git forge for a small/mid-sized company is not something that requires rocket surgery. Forgejo with an SQLite database and a daily backup to S3 would be more than enough for the majority of users.


I saw an HN comment a few weeks back claiming their traffic has increased ~10x.



No, that's almost exactly right, except that scaling problem is inverse!

MSFT is giving away most of their Azure Datacenters resources to AI, to make money and doesn't care if Github suffers along the way and drains Github's available resources to bare minimum. Leading to outages like this, but you're 100% spot on right too. All those Claude/OpenClaw instances produce so much Code, people setup more and more repositories.


Are they really making money from AI or just dumping resources on hoping they will be making money from it ?


Well, it has been 8 years since the acquisition and they have had access to Azure infrastructure to keep up with the scale and yet, it is still struggling due to free compute thanks to Actions.

They need to start getting rid of the free tiers for GitHub Actions and actually charge appropriately or increase prices for it.


Even Claude could have caught and addressed most of these scalability issues long ago. This can’t be due to load or capacity. This is something else.


I’d love to see the org chart sizes

How many hires went into infra and platform? How many went to Gen AI org units?

From what I see, and that is a constant wave of very meh features, it seems like the latter.


Enterprise software isn't about giving "breaks"; it's about does the product work for you or not.


Considering their leadership ushered that in themselves, that’s just poor planning.


That excuse was valid a few months ago or back in 2025. Not anymore.


It should be embarrassingly paralel I don't get how they can't figure out


What should? Presumably if it were easy and solved their most visible problem then they would have done it already?


Maybe they just suck.


The decentralized part (git itself) kept working.


If they did, they would’ve paused new feature development a long time ago and redirected that resource towards scaling the platform. And yet they’ve been releasing tonedeaf features more than ever.


Feature work is frankly much easier than scaling and bullet-proofing.


[flagged]


> HN is heavily anti-US

This is a very distorted lens.

Many on the outside might say the US is very pro-self and anti-everyone-else right now! America first, right?

Well, take a random country. We'll make a made-up one called Tristonia. Should Tristonia do things in Tristonia's best interests? Absolutely! If Tristonia had some kind of military or economic threat from another country, should they take steps to protect their country, resources, and people from the threat? Absolutely! The same thing the US would do.

Most of these people aren't necessarily anti-US, they're against being beholden to another country, especially one that has been incredibly... inconsistent, as of late.


The vast majority of HN users are from the US.


I'm a US citizen and I recommend people avoid most US corporations all the time. Helping US corporations does not help the blight of everyday Americans, all you do is make like a few thousand billionaires more wealthy.

I also find the excuses for these trillion dollar companies pathetic. These are entirely human constructed systems, if they can't understand what they made and how to improve it then maybe we need to question the way they write software in general if it's this unsustainable.

I hardly doubt some other team with better leadership qualities couldn't improve things to be better than they are now.


They've done the typical sillicon valley sillyness of having 10 000 engineers over-engineer a product so that there's way too many features built on top of what should be a simple tool and are now paying the price. Literally every larger US company makes this mistake.




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