Fair but there's two things I think need to be added
1) predictions are usually made assuming either constant effort or continued growth. They will be extremely conservative when the environment changes and you start dumping trillions of dollars into solving those problems.
2) while there's been real progress that doesn't mean it isn't being over sold. We do need to differentiate the signal from the noise
1) predictions are usually made assuming either constant effort or continued growth. They will be extremely conservative when the environment changes and you start dumping trillions of dollars into solving those problems.
2) while there's been real progress that doesn't mean it isn't being over sold. We do need to differentiate the signal from the noise