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causalmodels
33 days ago
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Disney erased FiveThirtyEight
> If your statistical model doesn’t contain this single bit in its output, then it doesn’t meet the minimum requirement for being a prediction.
I would be fascinated to know how you model a coin flip.
munchler
33 days ago
[–]
Well, that’s my point. You can model a coin flip, but you can’t predict it. A model and a prediction are two different things.
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I would be fascinated to know how you model a coin flip.