I'm very curious to see how polymarket fairs, compared to the news agencies. I s... | Hacker News

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nomel 33 days ago | parent | context | favorite | on: Disney erased FiveThirtyEight

I'm very curious to see how polymarket fairs, compared to the news agencies. I suspect prediction markets will be the norm, going forward. Polls can't fully capture the element of anonymity that's required for an accurate poll of something controversial.

bombcar 33 days ago [–]

My experience was that prediction markets were lagging indicators and basically followed something akin to an aggregate opinion of polls.

This is especially viewable if you watch them during the 2020 election.

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