I can understand skepticism to a degree, and even fundamentally believing that AI is bad for all sorts of reasons, but I am becoming more and more perplexed at the certainty behind statements like this one. How are you so certain that AI development is this doomed? It just hasn't matched my experience at all, and I wonder what your experience is that has driven you to this level of certainty about the certain doom of AI coding?
Is it just a philosophical belief that AI is morally bad? Or have you actually used AI to build things and feel confident that you have explored the space enough to come to such a strong conclusion?
I have been writing code every day for over 30 years, and have been doing it professionally for over 20. I have seen fads come and go, and I have seen real developments that have changed the way I do what I do numerous times. The more experience and the more projects I create with AI, the more certain I am that this is a lasting and fundamental change to how we produce software, and how we use computers generally. I have seen AI get better, and I have seen myself get more proficient at using it to get real work done, work that has already been tested with real world, production, workloads.
You can hate that it is happening, and hate the way working with AI feels, but that doesn't mean it is not providing real value for people and doing real work.
I dont know any serious engineers thay are doing real work with AI agents. I know some that are building features for web applications and just punching a clock, but I don't think that constitutes real work or provides much value to the world.
I like thinking, solving problems and typing out code myself. Im going to keep putting tons of care into my craft and I promise I'll have more impact than the guy running 3 agents to build the 500th version of some web concept.
Rolex has a much bigger impact on the world than white label mass manufacturers in China.
You really don't know any serious engineers using AI for real projects? Donald Knuth himself has written about his success using AI to solve long standing problems he has been interested in. I dont know if there is anyone more deserving of the "serious engineer" label than him.
I personally know of very serious AI projects running at some of the biggest, most successful tech companies in the world. These aren't "another version of a web concept", they are serious projects solving serious problems.
There are all sorts of valid criticisms about AI, but you aren't making them.
It is real work, just 90% of it is either net negative for society or provides nuetral value. Most web applications that are piling on features now because they have agents, are piling on features that we never needed in the first place, hence why they weren't prioritized previously. Junk junk junk.
> I like thinking, solving problems and typing out code myself.
I get this, I totally do, and I kind of hate relegating myself to doing "project manager" work instead of "software engineer" work, but the productivity gains make it no contest on whether to use AI here. Once I comprehensively validate the spec for a new feature, Codex just one-shots it basically every time. I'm talking thousands of lines of code in a single 3-hour session, with much of my time being spent browsing the internet while I wait for Codex to run in 15-20 minute sessions.
I'd estimate at least a 20x speedup in my ability to ship.
(and before you say it, yes, I review every single line of code before merging anything, so no - it's not AI slop)
Is it just a philosophical belief that AI is morally bad? Or have you actually used AI to build things and feel confident that you have explored the space enough to come to such a strong conclusion?
I have been writing code every day for over 30 years, and have been doing it professionally for over 20. I have seen fads come and go, and I have seen real developments that have changed the way I do what I do numerous times. The more experience and the more projects I create with AI, the more certain I am that this is a lasting and fundamental change to how we produce software, and how we use computers generally. I have seen AI get better, and I have seen myself get more proficient at using it to get real work done, work that has already been tested with real world, production, workloads.
You can hate that it is happening, and hate the way working with AI feels, but that doesn't mean it is not providing real value for people and doing real work.