> there is no compounding in wide spread infection where you're guaranteed to meet a carrier several times a day, and thus there is no practical difference between 25% and 38%. You'll get it either way - say you meet 10 carriers, each time probability 25% or 38% - the end result is indistinguishably similar.
Is your argument: "I can come up with a scenario where the real-world-measured statistics are not relevant?"
> yep. Unvaccinated is sitting at home, feeling ill, shedding, yet not transmitting. While vaccinated is out and about, no symptoms, shedding and transmitting during that "reduced duration".
You're making up scenarios not reflected in real-world data.
> That is another propagandistic BS. I've been to ER in the summer 2020 for a non-covid related issue - it was empty.
Is your argument: "I can come up with a scenario where the real-world-measured statistics are not relevant?"
> yep. Unvaccinated is sitting at home, feeling ill, shedding, yet not transmitting. While vaccinated is out and about, no symptoms, shedding and transmitting during that "reduced duration".
You're making up scenarios not reflected in real-world data.
> That is another propagandistic BS. I've been to ER in the summer 2020 for a non-covid related issue - it was empty.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.16.20248366v...
https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/112217/cdc_112217_DS1.pdf
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7046a5.htm