People are specialists not generalists, creating a AI that is generalist and claiming it to have cognitive abilities the same as an "well-educated" adult is an oxymoron. And if such system could ever be made My guess is it wont be more than a few (under 5) Billion Parameter model that is very good at looking up stuff online, forgetting stuff when not in use , planning and creating or expanding the knowledge in its nodes. Much like a human adult would. It will be highly sa mple efficient, It wont know 30 languages (although it has been seen that models generalize better with more languages), it wont know entire wikipedia by heart , it even wont remember minor details of programming languages and stuff. Now that is my definition of an AGI.