A forecast by one of the authors of the paper: 50% chance that AGI is reached ac... | Hacker News

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		hardenedsecure 6 months ago \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: A definition of AGI A forecast by one of the authors of the paper: 50% chance that AGI is reached according to the definition by end of 2028, 80% by end of 2030. https://ai-frontiers.org/articles/agis-last-bottlenecks

habinero 6 months ago [–]

People say things like this all the time. It's as reliable as the latest prediction for the rapture and about as scientific.

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