Exactly. There’s one guy - Ray Kurzweil - who predicted in late 90s that AGI will happen in 2029 (yes, the exact year, based on his extrapolations of Moore’s law). Everybody laughed at him, but it’s increasingly likely he’ll be right on the money with that prediction.
2020s was my understanding; he made this prediction around the time that he made the AGI one. I think he has recently pushed it back to 2030s because it seems unlikely to come true.
