IMHO: we will vibe:code with free local/cheaply hosted open source models and IDEs.. the hardware to facilitate is coming to consumers fast. But if Microsoft can sell Office to companies for decades then open ai can surely do the same for coding tools
Unless there is a massive change in archiecture, it will always be much more cost effective to have a single cluster of GPUs running inference for many users than have each user have hardware capable of running SOTA models but only using it for the 1% of the time where they have asked the model to do something.
There are multiple orders of magnitude between the sizes of models people use for „vibe coding” and models most people can comfortably run. It will take many years to bridge that gap.
