Is there any reliable instrument to find out? This seems so obvious, given the only alternative option seems to be believing they are completely insane.
You could look at https://www.capitoltrades.com/ in a few days. Of course you'd probably expect the average senator/congressional representative to be smart enough not to go insider trading on their own monitored account...
Buy the NASDAQ at 1:17PM. Sell at 2PM. You’ve just made 10% without doing any work. If you’re doing any kind of leveraged play, you can get even higher returns.
my point is that's the exact same if its a random microcap, just massively magnified. The president can easily cause triple digit swings. Doing a broad market movement is inefficient from this point of view.
He owns his own social media stock (DJT), where he post this morning "THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT" to his followers. Attracting more to his social media company.
He has a meme coin in cryptoland, and now via tariff manipulation, he can guide select people to place big bets on the largest derivatives market.
Derivatives had huge moves based on these announcements. Out-of-the money SPX E-mini puts went up 10x after tariffs were announced. Near-the-money E-mini calls doubled after today's announcements. These are zero-risk insider strategies.
