2000 or 2008 didn't feel like it was over. 2000 felt like too far too soon undelivered promises dried up the market. 2008 felt like wall street fraud killed the economy for all.
Today we are living in a reality created by FAANGs (and those who copied) who over recruited everyone so that other FAANGs could not get them. Employee count became connected to valuations. Which created insane fake demand which increased graduate numbers and let companies import people. Companies like facebook doubled their staff count in a year and a half during covid lockdowns.
Then interest rates went up and companies realized they don't need most people and then AI hit and shifted more budgets.
Recover to when? Part of the recovery is happening. Students are choosing other majors. Importing people will probably slow. The ratio of people to jobs is getting slightly better with people leaving the field. As wages and interest rates keep getting lower we'll hit a point where developers will be in demand again but AI might have taken your role by that point. Not to worry new jobs will be created somewhere doing something AI can't.
So much this. I have been watching the bootcamp mouthbreathers give up in droves and the recovery will be apparent when they've capitulated and latch onto their next host (don't forget, in 2006 they were all learning to flip homes or get a realtor license). I despise these imbecils for visiting their chaos and confusion on our industry.
The entire time (past 10 years minimum) the relative volume of skilled engineers and the demand for them (do not confuse that with open job postings) has been constant. In my opinion of course.
Today we are living in a reality created by FAANGs (and those who copied) who over recruited everyone so that other FAANGs could not get them. Employee count became connected to valuations. Which created insane fake demand which increased graduate numbers and let companies import people. Companies like facebook doubled their staff count in a year and a half during covid lockdowns.
Then interest rates went up and companies realized they don't need most people and then AI hit and shifted more budgets.
Recover to when? Part of the recovery is happening. Students are choosing other majors. Importing people will probably slow. The ratio of people to jobs is getting slightly better with people leaving the field. As wages and interest rates keep getting lower we'll hit a point where developers will be in demand again but AI might have taken your role by that point. Not to worry new jobs will be created somewhere doing something AI can't.