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Great piece, if you write more would love to read your thoughts on what makes a great trader vs. what makes a great forecaster.


I second that!

To the author: if you have a personal blog, can you post that here?


That's very kind of you to ask.

My personal blog is defunct (for now!). But some of my recent writings can be found on the research page [1] of my startup, FutureSearch. We're building an AI that can forecast accurately.

We've written some pieces on topics like the problems with using crowds to forecast, and contesting recent papers' claims of good forecasts coming from simple LLMs.

[1] https://futuresearch.ai/reports


Thanks, this sounds so interesting and timely.

There are some interesting jupyter to blog tools like quarto.org. Or, my Svelte based blogging tool: svekyll.com (I use it to blog about AI/ML because Svelte is the best visualization front end tool).

It's a great time for you to start blogging again!




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