Even Musk has lost confidence in Musk's predictions. He jokes about this. Tough crowd out there though, you being a case in point.
It's normal as a human to make predictions, and it's normal to come to the realization that some of one's predictions have been incorrect on the timelines. This is all just normal real life in the world of technology.
What actually is remarkable is the unstoppable progress that is being made. You can find counter examples, but look at the newer software versions this month, next month, and so on. Things are being fixed bit by bit.
At some point a reasonable person would realize that their past predictions have not panned out and would make their future predictions more conservative.
It's normal as a human to make predictions, and it's normal to come to the realization that some of one's predictions have been incorrect on the timelines. This is all just normal real life in the world of technology.
What actually is remarkable is the unstoppable progress that is being made. You can find counter examples, but look at the newer software versions this month, next month, and so on. Things are being fixed bit by bit.