I just can’t argue with this. You’re using Hillary as your example for why Biden won’t be elected, when Biden has already been elected and is sitting in the White House right now. People didn’t like him in 2020 either, they clutched their pearls about how the DNC asserted control and forced Biden on us when we could’ve had Sanders, if only it weren’t for those darn black folks in South Carolina. But elections aren’t about who you like anymore, they’re about who you dislike and what that person you dislike is going to do.
>You’re using Hillary as your example for why Biden won’t be elected, when Biden has already been elected and is sitting in the White House right now.
That's true, but the situation has changed. After 4 years of Trump and almost a year of him bungling the Covid response and George Floyd protests, lots of voters wanted a change, and people who had previously sat out the 2016 election or voted Other showed up this time to vote for Biden, who seemed like a boring but competent candidate. (Don't forget, however, Trump got more popular votes in 2020 than he did in 2016; it was simply outweighed by the even greater increase on the Dem side.)
Now, it's 4 years later; Covid is over, but the economy is suffering from high inflation (which is fine for rich people but hurting the lower/middle classes), the housing situation is worse than ever, and now the progressives/GenZ are royally pissed about Biden's handling of the Gaza situation.
Historically, one thing that's been pretty constant with US Pres elections is that people vote for change when they're mad about the economy (and of course blame it on the current Pres).
>But elections aren’t about who you like anymore, they’re about who you dislike and what that person you dislike is going to do.
This has pretty much always been the case. But as the Dems have failed to learn over and over, you still need to nominate someone that has some degree of charisma and doesn't have a lot of baggage. (And it's unfair too: the Republican candidates don't seem to have such a high bar to meet here, but it is what it is.)
I could be wrong of course, but I can easily see enough voters staying home to allow Trump to win.
> But elections aren’t about who you like anymore, they’re about who you dislike and what that person you dislike is going to do.
If the GOP had picked someone a bit more mainstream and less divisive than Trump, they’d probably be winning against Biden easily. Likewise, if Biden had decided against a second term, some other Democrat could easily have been well ahead of Trump right now.
A big reason why the election is about “who you dislike”, is both parties decided to run with what is arguably close to the worst option out of their realistic choices. If either had chosen differently, it would likely have been a very different election.
