I'm not on the hype train myself, but I'd never say never. I can certainly picture much of what devs do today become automated. Heck, we already have plain old deterministic tools that are ridiculously productive compared to common tech stacks in the industry.
That said, it is the very nature of software development (or any endeavor in building complex systems) that we discover a lot of the detail problems later down the line. I don't think of concerns about something like this as "shifting goal posts", I think of them as refining our understanding of the nature of the problems (in this case, the nature of a developer's work).
You still have to do the hard part. Writing all the prompts. That's what we do in all those meetings that sap our time, energy, and patience. Even if we complete all that we rely on devs to identify and/or fill in gaps along the way.
If you think your job is on the chopping block by way of AI then you are confused about the value you offer. I'm often disgusted that even senior devs are confused about what their job is.
AI is an amazing tool for software development--the perfect immediate application. Pick it up and use it and don't look back.
Oh I personally don't even think the job of software developers is in particular danger from "AI" in the short/mid term. That's what I meant by not being on the hype train.
The industry maturing, easy VC/stock market money drying up, the economy not doing so great, those are the dangers I'd worry about.
That said, it is the very nature of software development (or any endeavor in building complex systems) that we discover a lot of the detail problems later down the line. I don't think of concerns about something like this as "shifting goal posts", I think of them as refining our understanding of the nature of the problems (in this case, the nature of a developer's work).