>The same logic applies to shutting down oil and gas production: if we are not certain, then why risk the downsides?
You are conflating the cost of not extracting a fraction of a fraction of current production capacity with the risk ending human existence through changing systems we do not have anything close to a full understanding of nor precise control over.
Degrees of risk matter, in fact they are the whole point of GPs logic.
I’m not saying this is a good way to think, just that it shows the fault in your logic.