Not getting into programming because anyone can use an LLM to do programming does not suddenly fill the productivity needs in an absolute sense. People can do more with less which also means we will quickly raise the demand for the new things we need to do.
I think it will flip the tables completely. When "we" got into programming you more or less had to have aptitude for it and wade through dull documentation and still think it was fun to get anywhere. And there was a geek stigma. The recruiting body was really small for future programmers.
LLM are so much help to get a newbie to some sort of entry level it gonna flood the market compared to when we entered. And the pay has got really good too, in itself a big enough problem leading to flooding from bellow.
That principle of demand increases up to the size of the supply makes sense until the supply becomes effectively infinity, which is what AI is doing. I'm not sure demand rises infinitely. I do believe that programming skills are heavily devalued in a world of effective AI, and most people on HN are a bit delusional about this fact, mainly because it's depressing to us computer touchers...
