>in the Bay Area, it seems mortgages are significantly more expensive than rent.
It wasn’t that way when mortgages were 2-4% —- getting a mortgage is harder and requires a large down payment. It’s more of a commitment. Rent will always be more.
>So people can't be buying for the purpose of making money off renting it out, or for the purpose of saving money by not paying rent.
They can and they did.
> People must be buying for the purpose of making money from the price going up in the future.
It does that too, and for many boomers who bought in the 60s-80s, it went up about 10x for them.
> Property tax prevents it from going up in the future too much, thus it will prevent prices from getting so high.
Look up “California Prop 13”. People who buy basically get a freeze on tax rates at the price they paid for the house. If you bought in 1978, you’d pay the property tax based on the 1975 assessed value, and it can only go up 2% per year up to 1% of that assessed value MAX. That means if you bought a house back then for $100k, the max tax is $1k. Now your neighbor moved out and cashes in on their lottery ticket-like winnings, selling their home right next door for the $2m properties on that street are now worth. Guess how much the new owner pays in taxes? $20k. Even though the house paying $1k could sell tomorrow for the same $2m, they paid a ridiculously low property tax for decades, and the new owners of the exact same property will pay $20k each time property tax season rolls along. This garbage law is a big part of why owning in the Bay Area is so hard for folks trying to get their first home. Meanwhile, tons of owners rent their paid-off cheap tax home for ridiculous market rates. $5-7k/mo for a clapped out 60s POS is very typical. The folks who really played their cards right and have multiple properties for which there paying 1/10th or so of what their property tax SHOULD be then renting those all out while they live like kings are the real winners in this scenario, as are all the businesses that enjoy the same anti-competitive benefits. Ever wonder how all those crappy taquerias in San Jose stay open after all these decades while newer much better restaurants struggle and go under in a year? It’s this. Ever wonder how much tax Disney pays on all their property? It’s criminally low. Yet this issue is such a political third rail because all the boomer voters love love love their sweet sweet 90%+ tax discount, they’ll do anything to keep it. Another fun fact is this benefit can be passed down within the family, and with some clever lawyers, be passed between companies as well (IIRC the trick is to sell a property in 3 parts so no part exceeds 50% of tbe whole). Yay, loopholes. This is also a big part of why we have some schools that are surrounded by $2m+ houses and yet the school is way under-funded: those old neighborhoods don’t pay jack for property tax.
It wasn’t that way when mortgages were 2-4% —- getting a mortgage is harder and requires a large down payment. It’s more of a commitment. Rent will always be more.
>So people can't be buying for the purpose of making money off renting it out, or for the purpose of saving money by not paying rent.
They can and they did.
> People must be buying for the purpose of making money from the price going up in the future.
It does that too, and for many boomers who bought in the 60s-80s, it went up about 10x for them.
> Property tax prevents it from going up in the future too much, thus it will prevent prices from getting so high.
Look up “California Prop 13”. People who buy basically get a freeze on tax rates at the price they paid for the house. If you bought in 1978, you’d pay the property tax based on the 1975 assessed value, and it can only go up 2% per year up to 1% of that assessed value MAX. That means if you bought a house back then for $100k, the max tax is $1k. Now your neighbor moved out and cashes in on their lottery ticket-like winnings, selling their home right next door for the $2m properties on that street are now worth. Guess how much the new owner pays in taxes? $20k. Even though the house paying $1k could sell tomorrow for the same $2m, they paid a ridiculously low property tax for decades, and the new owners of the exact same property will pay $20k each time property tax season rolls along. This garbage law is a big part of why owning in the Bay Area is so hard for folks trying to get their first home. Meanwhile, tons of owners rent their paid-off cheap tax home for ridiculous market rates. $5-7k/mo for a clapped out 60s POS is very typical. The folks who really played their cards right and have multiple properties for which there paying 1/10th or so of what their property tax SHOULD be then renting those all out while they live like kings are the real winners in this scenario, as are all the businesses that enjoy the same anti-competitive benefits. Ever wonder how all those crappy taquerias in San Jose stay open after all these decades while newer much better restaurants struggle and go under in a year? It’s this. Ever wonder how much tax Disney pays on all their property? It’s criminally low. Yet this issue is such a political third rail because all the boomer voters love love love their sweet sweet 90%+ tax discount, they’ll do anything to keep it. Another fun fact is this benefit can be passed down within the family, and with some clever lawyers, be passed between companies as well (IIRC the trick is to sell a property in 3 parts so no part exceeds 50% of tbe whole). Yay, loopholes. This is also a big part of why we have some schools that are surrounded by $2m+ houses and yet the school is way under-funded: those old neighborhoods don’t pay jack for property tax.