> Other spring wheat: Production is forecast at 512 million bushels, up 2 percent from the previous forecast and up 55 percent from 2021.

Spring what is different from Winter wheat.

Winter wheat was planted last fall and should be close to fully harvested by now.

Spring wheat was planted after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and will be harvested starting shortly. That is really what is notable here - American farmers have done this in response to geopolitical events.

As for corn, the forecast has been pretty terrible given drought, heat and fertilizer shortages. All in all, I'd say that farm output in the US is far better than was predicted earlier this year.

Would you say that title sort of buries the lede, then?

We gained 180 million bushels of spring wheat, but dropped 750 million bushels of corn.

Not really? They're different things, for wildly different markets. The vast majority (as in, around 90%) of corn is not for human consumption but is used for farm feed and ethanol production.

People care much more about meat price at the market than how much an ear costs

Ya but you have to remember most of the corn produced in the US is inedible for humans, with much of it being feed corn and the abomination that is Ethonal fuel.

Actual food corn I'm willing to bet is unlikely to face any real impact.

"actual food corn" is basically irrelevant. The reason we care about corn at all is its use as feed corn and chemical processes

"We" in the US perhaps, but (say) Mexico might disagree.

A lot of corn acres are facing severe drought this year, and so yields are down. Last year it was wheat facing drought and thus low yields.

Look at acres planted if you want to know what farmers expected in spring. Look at 5 year averages if you want to compare the yields with something.