Exactly this. Where is the verification? Predictions don’t count for much unless... | Hacker News

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		dgr582systems on Nov 10, 2020 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: One pollster’s explanation for why the polls got i... Exactly this. Where is the verification? Predictions don’t count for much unless you check that the expectations line up with reality.

dragonwriter on Nov 10, 2020 | [–]

IIRC, 538 has available both the polling data and predictions for all of their political forecast series (not just Presidential.)

danhor on Nov 10, 2020 | [–]

538 has some infos about this here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/

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