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Duplex is a demo right?

If AlphaZero (which doesn't impact users directly) and Duplex (which isn't released yet) are the best recent examples I can understand why there's negative press appearing.



Duplex's underlying text-to-speech technology research (WaveNet) has produced several papers and is now in public beta. It represents a huge advance in text-to-speech fidelity, using a remarkably straightforward algorithm.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1609.03499.pdf

https://www.isca-speech.org/archive/Interspeech_2017/pdfs/14...

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1712.05884.pdf

https://cloud.google.com/text-to-speech/


The first paper is almost 2 years old, and text-to-speech seems to be a relatively small component of Duplex.


Uh, what? How are users relevant to the question of whether the tech is progressing? Humans at a game with such a high branching factor is a fantastic achievement.


Because A.I. has been sold as revolutionizing peoples lives. The second sentence of the article says Sundar Pichai, claimed in an interview that A.I. “is more profound than, I dunno, electricity or fire.”.

But if people don't see any impact in their lives, from a technology that they are told will change everything, then it's not surprising that they'd think little progress has been made.




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