It depends on the art unit processing the application[0]. If your application is classified as a 'software-related business method', your chances drop dramatically.
Is there any kind of public comment period where the patent's claims to novelty could be disputed? I feel like a lot of the worst patents may be granted because no one else was watching.
You might even be able to find prior art someplace you don't expect, like some sociology academic paper.
That was once true about software patents, but it's no longer true. I've seen some legitimately interesting / intellectually surprising software patents get denied not because they weren't novel or industrially useful, but because they lacked an inventive step.
Inventive steps are hard to come by if math isn't patentable and the fundamental principles of software creation aren't really changing.
Even if it gets granted, there's prior art. The big TV and movie analytics firms have been extrapolating socioeconomic data from viewing patterns since at least the early 2000s
