I for one am quite happy to outsource this kind of simply memorisation to a machine. Maybe it's the thin end of the slippery slope? It doesn't FEEL like it is but...
Isn't this just a rhetorical trick where by referring to a particular technology of the past which exploded rapidly into dominance you make that path seem inevitable?
Probably some tech does achieve ubiquity and dominance and some does not and it's extremely difficult to say in advance which is which?
Pessimists think nothing is worth doing, and are frequently right. But they will never catch the occasional thing that is worth doing. Some of the optimists will.
But optimism favors action, while pessimism favors inaction. And action vastly (and compoundingly) increases the amount of opportunities for being right.
Pessimists are just as often wrong too! Clearly the person you're replying to is an "optimist". :)
To be clear, I don't think there's a strong correlation between being rich and being a pessimist/optimist.
And to your original point, being right cannot possibly be biased towards optimism or pessimism. Any apparent correlation is more of a reflection on what everyone else thinks... and they are wrong! Cheers to being right!
Agreed, optimism/pessimism is just about our disposition to the world as we perceive it (ie. glass half full or half empty). It is orthogonal to understanding and prediction. A perfect Buddhist is neither an optimist or pessimist but can still be better or worse at predicting the future.
I do think pessimists, especially of the depressive variety generally do not get rich. The reason is that getting rich is hard, everyone nominally wants it, so it’s highly competitive and there are no easy paths. To find a path generally you have to take an action that almost by definition is low probability of success. You don’t have to be a beaming cheerleader to make this happen, but being an eyore is most likely disqualifying.
I might be misunderstanding, but I wouldn't call "un-depressed" people ignorant.
I also think depressed people would regress to the average if they weren't depressed. It's not a sustainable way to think harder and open your eyes to the world around you.
Yes I remember reading that too and it resonated. As a slightly depressed person I can't believe the delusionally positive spin people seem to put on everything and nonetheless this seems to be a winning strategy for them. I never could explain that.
Starting with an accurate world model, no matter how dispiriting, seems to be a prerequisite for knowing the most effective action to take.
My perfect reading chair: the "Skye" model designed by Tord Bjorklund for Ikea in the 1970s. Its shape is essentially like an Adirondack chair connected to an ottoman, but padded and leather covered. Insanely comfy and perfect for reading.
Similar but more famous is the LC4 Chaise Longue designed by Le Corbusier.
I'm open and friendly to everyone I meet but get treated like a weirdo and ostracized (I am also a weirdo).
You don't only have to be "open and friendly", you have to say the correct things in the correct way in the correct order in order for people to accept you.
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