I think people in 2200 will be looking at us the same way we look at the 1940ies folk with their "doctors smoke Camels" ad. Mix of indulgence, contempt and commiseration.
Congratulations on your first article - it's a really good one. I found the jar filling method especially inspiring. Thanks a lot and good luck with the launch!
A handover happens not only when someone leaves the company but also when one moves internally. In that case the incentive to prepare the next person is definitely stronger.
I'm keeping my fingers crossed for Markdown for it's elegance, simplicity and independence. And observing fresh ideas for using it like Marp for example builds up the hope it will get more popular.
I can imagine that wide adoption of AVs could increase the speed limits (at least for them if not all vehicles). Also I believe that high saturation of AVs will finally shorten ETAs naturally as stable, predictable driving without cutting in, forcing others to stop suddenly etc. reduces traffic jams. (Can't find the study that opened my eyes on that right now).
For fruits and veggies actually there are already more or less automated harvesters. They are just not humanoid. Also I guess that their cost might slow down adoption.
Same thing has happened in corvettes. Corvette has has electronic doors since at least the c6 (2005) and just like the Tesla has a manual release. But people still get “trapped” and die. There was even a story of an older guy dying in his corvette from asphyxiation because he couldn’t figure it out in ~30 mins.
In fact the Tesla release is more intuitive than the corvette. The corvette has it on the floor, the Tesla it’s right in front of the window switches. In my experience people pull the manual release thinking it’s the primary all the time.
But yeah, never mind the fact that electronic door latching has been around in the industry before Tesla even existed, and is present in VW and VW group vehicles let alone most other brands.
> Finally, in conclusion, what do "techies" get wrong?
I read the answer as "there are several factors and broader context besides direct productivity gains that need to be taken into account when considering automation". And to be honest some techies do indeed forget about them. Elon Musk seems to be the the most striking example of "it's just an engineering problem" mindset.